White Voters Are Jumping Out Of The Trump Hate Ship
The most recent NBC News SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 7 points, 49 percent to 42 percent buoyed by white voters. The survey of 10,604 adults, including 9,355 registered voters, was conducted online June 6–12. It has an overall margin of error of 1.4 percentage points.
White Voters
Clinton picked up 7 points among moderate voters this week and now leads Trump 58 percent to 33 percent among them.
Trump’s margin among male voters dropped from 14 points last week to 9 points this week and he now leads Clinton 51 percent to 42 percent. This is essentially even with Mitt Romney’s win among men over President Barack Obama in 2012. His 13-point margin among white voters last week also shrank to 9 points this week. White voters now favor Trump to Clinton 50 percent to 41 percent. That’s also an ominous sign for a Republican Party that has grown dependent on a large margin in the white vote – Obama lost that demographic to Romney by 20 points in 2012.
Third Parties
When adding Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, Hillary enjoys 42 percent support; Trump has 38 percent, Johnson has 9 percent support and Stein has 5 percent. Support for Johnson and Stein has remained consistent from results in early June, but Clinton now leads Trump by 4 points. In those results, Clinton trailed Trump by a single point — 39 percent to 40 percent.
A majority of voters also think that Clinton will win the 2016 presidential election against Trump — 54 percent said Clinton will win, and 40 percent said Trump will win. The 14-point margin is up from only a 5-point margin last week.
Her lead has been climbing in NBC’s poll since late May, when Trump came as close as 2 points, barely outside the margin of error. Fox News, which had Trump up 3 points in mid-May, measured a 6-point drop for him last week. Rasmussen Reports saw a 9-point swing, to put Clinton up 4, over a similar period. A Reuters/Ipsos poll has her up 11 points.
