Preseason games have started. You may have already received an invite from last year’s league, or decided that you are finally going to join your office league. Either way, your league is won and lost with the draft. There is a general fear of getting fleeced in trades that permeates many fantasy leagues. You have to assume the foundation of your team established i the draft is what will carry you throughout the season. I am going to give you my insight into the 2014 Draft. I am assuming a generic 12 man league with one qb, 3 wrs, 2 rbis, 1 flex, 1 k, 1 def and 8 bench spots.
Kicker and Defense
Don’t waste time drafting a kicker or a defense until your last two picks in the draft. Like everything else fantasy related, it’s all about points. Draft kickers and defenses in good offenses. Kickers have more opportunities to score the more they are in the red zone. Defenses have more opportunities to score points the more the opposing offense drops back to pass. This is more likely to happen if their own offense puts pressure on the other team to score points, preferably by taking the lead.
In my opinion, there are 4 running backs worthy of 1st round picks this year. They are Adrian Peterson, Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy and DeMarco Murray. In fact, I have waited unit the 6th round to draft a running back, and still ended up with three clear guys getting at least 75% of the snaps. Running backs can be had very late in drafts this year.
I believe receivers are the most valuable position in this year’s draft. I believe 5 receivers (Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas, AJ Green, Randall Cobb and Victor Cruz) could have 100 catch seasons. I believe Julio Jones and DeSean Jackson are also primed for huge seasons. I value these guys more than the other running backs who currently have first round grades outside of Peterson, Charles and McCoy (Eddie Lacy, Montee Ball and Marshawn Lynch).
It’s simple. You want to aim for six guys being Jimmy Graham, Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Cameron, Jason Witten, or Kyle Rudolph. These guys will be focal points of their offense either between the 20’s and/or in the Red Zone. If you can’t get one of those guys, LaDarius Green of San Diego has incredible upside.
Manning, Brees and Rogers are whom you want though generally you want to wait for quarterbacks. You can also feel comfortable with Stafford, Romo, Luck or Brady. Normally, I would advocate dual threat guys such as Cam, Kaepernick and RG III, but there are too many question marks surrounding those guys this year.
Tomorrow, we will begin our journey going through an entire draft from all 12 draft spots. Mock drafting will not only give you an idea of what players will be available to you, but what people’s general perceptions of players are as well as different draft strategies you can take. I highly recommend doing mock drafts. As with most things, practice makes perfect.
Fantasy Football: 1st pick