If I Were A Betting Man, This Is What I’d Do: NFL Week 3
This is what I would do this week if I were a betting man. I would’ve been 9-5 last week if I had bet. That would make me 13-9 on the season.
If I Were A Betting Man
We now have 2 weeks of results with week 3 having some great matchups. This is what I’d do if I were betting:
Denver at Cincinnati (-3)
The underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Trevor Siemian is still playing better than Peyton Manning was last year. I’d go with Denver.
Detroit at Green Bay (-8.5)
The favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay. I’d take Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers to bounce back.
Baltimore at Jacksonville (+1)
The under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings, and 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Jacksonville. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Ravens have been living dangerously. I’d take Jacksonville and the under 47.5.
Cleveland at Miami (-10)
The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Browns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The Dolphins aren’t 10 points better than anyone. I’d take Cleveland and the under of 42.5.
Washington at New York Giants (-4.5)
The under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in New York. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The giants are better than they were last year and it’s because of the defense. I’d take the Giants and the under 46.5.
San Francisco at Seattle (-9.5)
The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. The 49ers are 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings, and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Seattle. I’d take Seattle and the under 40.5 in a low-scoring defensive struggle.
Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay (-5)
The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay, and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Something’s wrong with Tampa, but the Rams can’t score. I’d take the Rams and the under 42.
San Diego at Indianapolis (-2.5)
The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Indianapolis, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Chargers should be 2-0 and Colts are reeling. I’d take the Chargers and the under 51.5.
New York Jets at Kansas City (-3)
The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Kansas City is a tough place to play. I’d take the Chiefs.
Chicago at Dallas (-7)
The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Brian Hoyer may be resurrected. The man wins. I’ll take the Bears and the over 44.5.
These would be my picks if I were a betting man. As always, be careful if you gamble and make sure you are responsible.