Rigged Elections Aren’t The Problem As Much As Trump’s Candidacy Is

rigged elections

Kevin Williamson notes how Donald Trump is losing the swing states of New Hampshire (+11 Clinton), Virginia (+11 Clinton), Michigan (+8 Clinton), Colorado (+7 Clinton), North Carolina (+6 Clinton), Pennsylvania (+6 Clinton), along with the voters of conservative Georgia (+4 Clinton) and practically every traditionally Democratic state (Trump boasted that he’d put states such as New Jersey, Connecticut and New York into play but is, in fact, losing them by 12, 15 and 20 points, respectively). Florida is in the toss-up column, which is to be expected, but then so is Texas, which is catastrophic. Utah’s Evan McMullin is pouring orange juice in Trump’s cornflakes. Arizona and Georgia, traditional GOP strongholds, are also up for grabs. Trump is that bad. This has nothing to do with rigged elections.

Rigged Elections Talk Is Just Bad Politics

The thing about voter fraud isn’t that it doesn’t exist. It does exist, and all responsible observers both know and say that. The question is whether the proposed policy solution (invariably tighter ID requirements at the polls) is tailored to the problem that actually exists, and at the same time not sufficiently severe that it creates more trouble than it solves.”

– Professor Justin Leavitt of Loyola University Law School

Ironically, the voter suppression laws enacted by many legislatures of what should be Trump-friendly states will actually snare Trump voters who have for example either not updated their information, gone to the wrong polls or been taken off the voter lists for not voting in the last eight years. Trump has invested little in a sophisticated get-out-the-vote operation, so his “self-fulfilling rigged elections prophecy” will actually bring down his numbers as some of his supporters will decide not to take the time to vote if they feel their vote is wasted. Trump has also apparently shown that he’s already thought about his post-election plans with his son-in-law pitching a Trump News Network. That doesn’t exactly convey a message that he’s fighting to make America great again, at least not as President.

Voter Fraud: Your Favorite Excuse’s Favorite Excuse

Jim Geraghty writes how a CBS Denver affiliate found, in two separate reports, four voters recorded as casting ballots after they died, and “dozens” of individuals still listed on the voter rolls after they died. Keep in mind, Obama won Colorado by 137,858 votes in 2012. Cory Gardner’s margin of victory in the state’s 2014 Senate race was 39,688 votes. No one has found tens of thousands of dead voters casting ballots.

The CBS affiliate in Los Angeles found 265 registered voters whose identifications matched those of death records from the Social Security Administration. They found 32 dead voters who cast ballots in eight elections each. Could that swing a close local election? Perhaps. But not California’s presidential and Senate elections in 2012 — where each won by more than 2 million votes.

Voting In Two Places

There are cases where people have registered and voted in two different jurisdictions. Back in 2004, the New York Daily News found 46,000 New Yorkers were registered to vote in New York and Florida, and 400–1,000 registered voters voted twice in at least one election. Slate gathered other investigations back in 2004 as well: “The Orlando Sentinel found that 68,000 Florida voters are also registered in Georgia or North Carolina (the only two states it checked), 1,650 of whom voted twice in 2000 or 2002. The Kansas City Star discovered 300 “potential” cases of individual voter fraud, including Kansans voting in Missouri and St. Louisans voting in both the city and the surrounding suburbs.”

There are enough illegal votes there to swing an election as close as Florida’s and New Mexico’s in 2000. But because 99.9 percent of elections are nowhere near that close, voter fraud on such a small scale is exceedingly unlikely to swing a statewide result. It is easier to imagine a scenario where illegally-cast votes alter the outcome of a U.S. House race or state legislative race, because those elections necessarily involve many fewer votes cast, but even then the likelihood is slim.

Illegal Immigrants

Well, what about illegal immigrants casting ballots? A study released in October 2014 offered the shocking assertion that roughly 700,000 illegal immigrants voted in the 2008 election, and probably provided Barack Obama his narrow margin of victory in North Carolina. But the researchers didn’t draw that conclusion by looking at ballots or voting records. They used a 50,000+ person national survey administered by YouGov/Polimetrix. In that survey, 339 people from the 2008 sample and 489 from the 2010 sample said they were not U.S. citizens. Of those individuals, 21 said they had voted in 2008 and eight said they had voted in 2010. The researchers then took that voting rate and applied it to the entire U.S. non-citizen population. But even if you accept the accuracy of such extrapolation, all of the data on which it was based was self-reported, and some of it was contradictory: Some respondents reported being non-citizens in 2012 and citizens in 2010. Most of the illegal immigrants told interviewers they already had photo identification that permitted them to vote. So the only thing we can say for certain is that there are a number of self-identified non-citizens who are willing to tell a survey collector that they voted in a U.S. election.

Geraghty concludes with what we all should know. Will fraudulent votes be cast in the 2016 election? Almost certainly, and every case should be investigated and prosecuted. Will those fraudulent votes occur in large enough numbers to swing a state? Almost certainly not. Rigged elections are not a problem.

But that won’t stop Trump from claiming otherwise in the vaguest, most unverifiable terms. If he has actual evidence of rigged elections, he should produce it. If he doesn’t, chalk it up to preemptive surrender in November. Voter fraud is a poor excuse offered by candidates who can’t face their own failures.

Comments

comments

KTB Editors

Articles, podcast and video from management. We are the whisper in the breeze.

You may also like...

56 Responses

  1. April 17, 2017

    network

    […]The information talked about within the write-up are some of the most beneficial available […]

  2. April 17, 2017

    can i do my own wedding flowers

    […]here are some hyperlinks to web-sites that we link to since we consider they are really worth visiting[…]

  3. April 18, 2017

    creative

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  4. April 18, 2017

    townearg service near harper woods

    […]check below, are some entirely unrelated internet websites to ours, however, they are most trustworthy sources that we use[…]

  5. April 18, 2017

    Shoes with wedge electricity

    […]very handful of internet sites that occur to become in depth below, from our point of view are undoubtedly properly worth checking out[…]

  6. April 18, 2017

    Women’s watches

    […]Here are some of the websites we recommend for our visitors[…]

  7. April 18, 2017

    Jackets and coats

    […]Here is an excellent Blog You may Find Fascinating that we Encourage You[…]

  8. April 18, 2017

    cerrajero 24 horas murcia

    […]although websites we backlink to below are considerably not associated to ours, we really feel they may be essentially worth a go through, so possess a look[…]

  9. April 18, 2017

    REGULAR PAYMENTS

    […]always a huge fan of linking to bloggers that I really like but really don’t get a whole lot of link really like from[…]

  10. April 19, 2017

    cbd health

    […]usually posts some pretty exciting stuff like this. If you?re new to this site[…]

  11. April 19, 2017

    Insta Likes

    […]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a number of unrelated data, nonetheless truly really worth taking a look, whoa did 1 understand about Mid East has got far more problerms also […]

  12. April 19, 2017

    job verification

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  13. April 19, 2017

    buy a website domain

    […]just beneath, are many completely not connected internet sites to ours, even so, they’re certainly really worth going over[…]

  14. April 19, 2017

    dumpster rental yates

    […]Here are a few of the web pages we recommend for our visitors[…]

  15. April 20, 2017

    Dich hop dong kinh te tieng Anh

    […]Every once inside a even though we pick blogs that we read. Listed below are the latest websites that we pick […]

  16. April 20, 2017

    original site

    […]that is the end of this write-up. Here you will uncover some web sites that we feel you will enjoy, just click the links over[…]

  17. April 20, 2017

    warehouse space

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  18. April 20, 2017

    Online Defensive Driving

    […]the time to study or go to the content or internet sites we’ve linked to beneath the[…]

  19. April 20, 2017

    Atlanta pay stub service

    […]check below, are some totally unrelated websites to ours, even so, they may be most trustworthy sources that we use[…]

  20. April 20, 2017

    Online Defensive Driving

    […]although internet sites we backlink to beneath are considerably not related to ours, we really feel they’re in fact worth a go via, so possess a look[…]

  21. April 20, 2017

    Classified jobs for Teenagers

    […]one of our visitors just lately recommended the following website[…]

  22. April 20, 2017

    Online Defensive Driving

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  23. April 20, 2017

    pay stubs online

    […]we came across a cool web site that you may well take pleasure in. Take a look should you want[…]

  24. April 21, 2017

    Online Defensive Driving

    […]the time to study or pay a visit to the content or sites we have linked to beneath the[…]

  25. April 21, 2017

    pay stubs online

    […]usually posts some very interesting stuff like this. If you?re new to this site[…]

  26. April 21, 2017

    SIDS

    […]the time to read or pay a visit to the subject material or web sites we have linked to below the[…]

  27. April 21, 2017

    Classified homes for sale

    […]Sites of interest we have a link to[…]

  28. April 21, 2017

    chip tantalum capacitor price

    […]please go to the websites we stick to, which includes this a single, because it represents our picks from the web[…]

  29. April 22, 2017

    address

    […]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a handful of unrelated data, nonetheless genuinely really worth taking a search, whoa did a single study about Mid East has got much more problerms at the same time […]

  30. April 22, 2017

    here are the findings

    […]here are some hyperlinks to web sites that we link to due to the fact we believe they’re worth visiting[…]

  31. April 22, 2017

    Kayak Fishing Loxahatchee Groves

    […]Here are some of the web pages we recommend for our visitors[…]

  32. April 22, 2017

    Entrepreneur

    […]always a big fan of linking to bloggers that I really like but don?t get a lot of link really like from[…]

  33. April 22, 2017

    Grow Your Business to $1 Million Dollars

    […]just beneath, are a lot of absolutely not associated websites to ours, nevertheless, they are surely worth going over[…]

  34. April 22, 2017

    Jeannette Marlar

    […]Here are some of the internet sites we suggest for our visitors[…]

  35. April 22, 2017

    Cristine Orr

    […]just beneath, are numerous completely not connected sites to ours, even so, they may be surely worth going over[…]

  36. April 22, 2017

    Torrance

    […]here are some links to websites that we link to mainly because we feel they’re really worth visiting[…]

  37. April 22, 2017

    dogsofinstgram

    […]just beneath, are various totally not associated websites to ours, even so, they’re surely really worth going over[…]

  38. April 23, 2017

    minecraft servers

    […]Here are some of the websites we suggest for our visitors[…]

  39. April 23, 2017

    Get the facts

    […]we came across a cool internet site that you simply may well love. Take a search should you want[…]

  40. April 23, 2017

    web design

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  41. April 24, 2017

    best akuamma seeds

    […]we came across a cool web-site that you simply could delight in. Take a search when you want[…]

  42. April 24, 2017

    best gallon aquarium

    […]Here are a few of the web pages we recommend for our visitors[…]

  43. April 24, 2017

    singing lessons reviews

    […]below you?ll come across the link to some websites that we think you’ll want to visit[…]

  44. April 25, 2017

    superior singing method step 1

    […]below you will locate the link to some websites that we feel it is best to visit[…]

  45. April 25, 2017

    Vendre cosmetique

    […]we prefer to honor lots of other world wide web web-sites on the net, even though they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Below are some webpages really worth checking out[…]

  46. April 25, 2017

    wall decor

    […]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a handful of unrelated data, nevertheless really worth taking a search, whoa did a single master about Mid East has got far more problerms at the same time […]

  47. April 25, 2017

    elektrolytische condensator kopen

    […]that would be the end of this write-up. Here you’ll come across some web-sites that we think you’ll enjoy, just click the hyperlinks over[…]

  48. April 26, 2017

    newborn baby boy clothes

    […]usually posts some really intriguing stuff like this. If you?re new to this site[…]

  49. April 26, 2017

    Free Oil Diffuser

    […]very handful of internet websites that transpire to become detailed below, from our point of view are undoubtedly properly worth checking out[…]

  50. April 26, 2017

    wall decor for kitchen

    […]always a major fan of linking to bloggers that I like but do not get a lot of link really like from[…]

  51. April 26, 2017

    kylpyhuonehanat

    […]Sites of interest we’ve a link to[…]

  52. April 26, 2017

    baby name necklace

    […]Every after in a although we pick blogs that we study. Listed below would be the most recent internet sites that we pick […]

  53. April 26, 2017

    china hardware fitting suppliers

    […]please take a look at the websites we stick to, which includes this 1, as it represents our picks through the web[…]

  54. April 27, 2017

    product video

    […]we prefer to honor quite a few other online web-sites on the internet, even when they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Under are some webpages really worth checking out[…]

  55. April 27, 2017

    free classified posting

    […]very handful of internet sites that occur to be comprehensive beneath, from our point of view are undoubtedly well worth checking out[…]

  56. April 27, 2017

    Beyond Real Estate

    […]we prefer to honor lots of other net internet sites on the web, even when they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Under are some webpages worth checking out[…]

Leave a Reply