If I Were A Betting Man, This Is What I’d Do: NFL Week 8
After a two week hiatus, I’m back with what I’d do this week if I were a betting man. My record would be 37-28 (.569) on the season. A skilled handicapper historically hits 55% of games long term. 52% of games is the break-even point.
If I Were A Betting Man
We now have 7 weeks of results. This is what I’d do if I were betting:
Jacksonville at Tennessee (+3.5)
Jaguars are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Tennessee. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. I’d take Jacksonville and the under of 43.
Kansas City at Indianapolis (+2.5)
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I’d take the Colts. I like Andrew Luck more than Alex Smith.
Oakland at Tampa Bay (-1)
The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. I’d take the over of 49. Derek Carr and Jameis Winston are two of the better young quarterbacks. The Raiders and Buccaneers do not have two of the better defenses.
Arizona at Carolina (-2.5)
The home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I’d go Panthers. I find it hard to believe the Panthers are this bad.
San Diego at Denver (-5)
The Chargers are 8-1-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings in Denver. I’d take the Chargers. Melvin Gordon leads the league in touchdowns. The Chargers are a dangerous team that could easily be 7-0.
Green Bay at Atlanta (-2.5)
The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. I’d take the Packers. Atlanta is falling apart per usual and Aaron Rodgers may be looking to put up numbers from here on out.
Philadelphia at Dallas (-4.5)
The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Dallas. I’d take Philadelphia. This is Tony Romo’s opening.
These would be my picks if I were a betting man. As always, be careful if you gamble and make sure you are responsible.