If I Were A Betting Man, This Is What I’d Do: NFL Week 4
This is what I would do this week if I were a betting man. I would’ve been 9-7 last week if I had bet. That would make me 22-16 on the season.
If I Were A Betting Man
We now have 3 weeks of results with week 4 bringing both bye weeks and the end of suspensions. This is what I’d do if I were betting:
Miami at Cincinnati (-7.5)
The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Cincinnati, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Andy Dalton is missing Marvin Jones and Mohammed Sanu, while the Dolphins got their first win of the season last week with their coach caling out their team this week. I like Miami (+7.5).
Indianapolis v. Jacksonville (+2.5)
The favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The game is in London. Indy had a big comeback win last week and Jacksonville snatched defeat from the jaws of victory. I’ll take Indy and the under 48.5.
Carolina at Atlanta (+3)
The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings and 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta. The home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The loser of the Super Bowl always starts off tough. I’ll take Atlanta and the under of 50.
Oakland at Baltimore (-3.5)
The home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Baltimore. Beware the west coast team flying east with the 1 pm start. I’ll take the Ravens.
Detroit at Chicago (+2.5)
The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. The Bears are down their starting qb and running back with the oft injured Alshon Jeffery being hurt. I’d take the under 47.5.
Tennessee at Houston (+4.5)
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. The Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Houston, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings. No J.J. Watt is important, but this is where we see Jadeveon Clowney shine. I’d take Houston and the over 40.5.
Buffalo at New England
The underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. While the line is not out yet, Rex has a hard on for New England. I’d take Buffalo.
Seattle at NY Jets (+2.5)
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The Jets should respond to the debacle that was last week and Russell Wilson is hurt. I’d take the Jets.
Los Angeles at Arizona (-7.5)
Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Look for Arizona to bounce back from that disgrace in Buffalo last week. I’d take the Cardinals.
New Orleans at San Diego (-4)
The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Rivers and Brees should mean points against two bad defenses. I’d take the over of 53.5.
Dallas at San Francisco (+2)
The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. With the exception of Week 1, San Francisco falls behind and then scores late TDs to push the total up. I’d take the over.
N.Y. Giants at Minnesota (-5)
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Minnesota looks like a team on a mission. The Giants last week looked like the Giants of last year. I’d take Minnesota.
These would be my picks if I were a betting man. As always, be careful if you gamble and make sure you are responsible.